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Storage for EIA report date 9/10/15

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  • Storage for EIA report date 9/10/15

    this weeks storage poll is for week ending 9/4 and reported by EIA on 9/10


    observations:
    the week finished off warmer than the week prior and warmer than average, but cooler than the same week last year .
    the warmer changes increased total demand by an estimated 15bcf over the week prior.
    lower hdd reduced residential/commercial use by a few bcf but generation use was up by over 16bcf on the week.
    supply was seen as approximately flat with only a slight increase in U.S. output.
    supply remains within the very tight range held since June.



    storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
    last week: 72 (70cdd 2hdd)
    previous week: 66 (58cdd 8hdd)
    same week last yr: 77 (75cdd 2hdd)
    avg: 60 (53cdd 7hdd)
    next wk fcst 79 (78cdd 1hdd)
    * source: NOAA


    storage:
    same week last yr: 90
    5-yr avg: 63
    *note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls

    my estimate is 71 bcf
    30
    Below 69 bcf
    10.00%
    3
    70 to 74 bcf
    50.00%
    15
    75 to 79 bcf
    33.33%
    10
    80 to 84 bcf
    6.67%
    2
    Above 85 bcf
    0.00%
    0

    The poll is expired.


  • #2
    my following three are currently 73, 103, 99

    Comment


    • #3
      Going with 74: 56/5/13

      Comment


      • #4
        I'm at 75 for this week.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by diogenes View Post
          Going with 74: 56/5/13
          What about Ice? Thanks

          Comment


          • #6
            I know that Transco isn't the most reliable indicator(understatement), but they just reported a 1.2 bcf injection for last week vs. 3.4 bcf previous week. This was the lowest injection reported by transco in the last 10 weeks

            Comment


            • #7
              74 this week

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by lecturer View Post
                what about ice? Thanks
                75 @ 77

                Comment


                • #9
                  enerjay LLC 69
                  Guernsey 70
                  Stephen Smith Energy 72
                  Gelber & Associates 73
                  Asset Risk Management 73
                  PointLogic Energy 73
                  Ritterbusch 73
                  IAF Advisors 74
                  Macquarie 74
                  Schneider Electric 74
                  Strategic Energy 75
                  Thomson Reuters Analytics 75
                  FirstEnergy 76
                  Energy Ventures Analysis 76
                  Price Futures Group 76
                  Raymond James 76
                  Tradition Energy 76
                  Energy Management Institute 77
                  Genscape 77
                  INTL FCStone 77
                  Ecova 78
                  Wells Fargo 78
                  ICAP Energy 80
                  Citi Futures 81
                  Caprock Risk Management 82
                  Bentek 78
                  Reuters Survey 75

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    so we expect somewhere between 75-76 based on combined views

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Does anyone feel tomorrow may provide a breakdown/breakout?

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Yep I'll never get back the 45 seconds I spent looking at this thread.
                        Keep up the good work etf bangers.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by flows View Post
                          Yep I'll never get back the 45 seconds I spent looking at this thread.
                          Keep up the good work etf bangers.
                          Losing 45 seconds tapping your foot in an airport bathroom hasn't stopped you either. Not to fret, we all keep coming back to the crack rock known as FEF.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by flows View Post
                            Yep I'll never get back the 45 seconds I spent looking at this thread.
                            Keep up the good work etf bangers.
                            The market is dying, the board is dying with it. We are down to the occasional irrelevant TimeOnTarget post. Even Gassy lost interest.

                            At least Chiku is gone.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              If
                              71= 271
                              81= 271
                              76=?

                              Comment

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